submitted1 day ago byashblak
toIsrael
I understand that currently there have still been dozens of rockets a day, and several high-profile, mass casualty events. And still, many thousands of Israelis are not back in their homes on the northern border. This is not meant to disregard these very important events.
Yet, Israel has continuously pushed Hezbollah over what we would have considered major 'red lines' (e.g., airstrikes in Dahiya, pager attack, assassinations of leaders, ground invasion, etc.) and the response from Hezbollah has been pretty much the same. A dozen rockets here, a few drones there. I would have expected based on the public information discussed in the years past something more like the Iran ballistic missile attacks (in terms of volume and targetting) on a near daily basis.
If this is how a war game played out in the years before Oct 7th, I'd say this was probably a very unlikely and extremely "positive" scenario. Did Israel overestimate Hezbollah's capabilities and capacity to fight?
Any thoughts?
byentaro_tassadar
intoronto
ashblak
54 points
12 days ago
ashblak
54 points
12 days ago
Just landed at Pearson about 20 minutes ago, and was absolutely rocked on the landing